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ARPU Uplift Model

Model Details · Telecom AI Model Registry

Model Details

ARPU Uplift Model

Algorithm: XGBoostAPPROVED DESIGN
Code
MDL-ARPU-UPLIFT
Version
v2.4
Owner
Head of Pricing & Revenue
Governance owner
Model Risk Committee

Governance configuration shown for review and validation. Read-only.

Business purpose

Estimate incremental ARPU from targeted bundle and pricing actions

Production-recommended design specification. This record does not mean the model has been trained, fitted, deployed or validated.

Technical specification

Model family
Gradient Boosted Regression Trees
Algorithm
XGBoost
Implementation library
XGBRegressor
Model type
Regression
Explainability method
SHAP TreeExplainer

Implementation governance

Governance status
APPROVED DESIGN
Implementation status
MODEL DEVELOPMENT REQUIRED
Validation status
VALIDATION REQUIRED
Lifecycle stage
Design
Current performance
Not yet measured
Refresh cadence
Monthly
Last reviewed
03 Sep 2026
Next review due
03 Dec 2026
Historical sample reference
R² 0.71 — earlier sample figure, kept for provenance only; not a validated model result.

Business

Mission area
Revenue & ARPU
Decision journey
Revenue & Profitability
Target variable
Incremental ARPU (ZAR)
Output
Expected ARPU uplift by segment and offer

Input features

Governed variables, in feature-rank order

  1. 1.average_monthly_revenueAverage billed service revenue over the last 3 months.
  2. 2.Average recharge amountMean recharge value
  3. 3.data_usage_change_30d_pctChange in data MB, last 30 days vs prior 30 days.
  4. 4.offer_response_scoreLikelihood of accepting a retention or upsell offer (0–1).
  5. 5.Plan typePrepaid, hybrid or postpaid

Related Intelligence

Linked governed records

Decision journey