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Net Adds Forecast Model

Model Details · Telecom AI Model Registry

Model Details

Net Adds Forecast Model

Algorithm: SARIMAX (benchmark: ARIMA)APPROVED DESIGN
Code
MDL-NETADDS-FCST
Version
v1.2
Owner
Head of Commercial Planning
Governance owner
Planning Office

Governance configuration shown for review and validation. Read-only.

Business purpose

Forecast subscriber net adds by segment

Production-recommended design specification. This record does not mean the model has been trained, fitted, deployed or validated.

Technical specification

Model family
Statistical Time-Series Forecasting
Algorithm
SARIMAX (benchmark: ARIMA)
Implementation library
statsmodels SARIMAX
Model type
Time-Series Forecasting
Explainability method
Forecast decomposition / coefficient contribution

Implementation governance

Governance status
APPROVED DESIGN
Implementation status
MODEL DEVELOPMENT REQUIRED
Validation status
VALIDATION REQUIRED
Lifecycle stage
Design
Current performance
Not yet measured
Refresh cadence
Monthly
Last reviewed
05 Sep 2026
Next review due
05 Dec 2026
Historical sample reference
MAPE % 4.8 — earlier sample figure, kept for provenance only; not a validated model result.

Business

Mission area
Subscriber Growth
Decision journey
Subscriber Growth
Target variable
Net adds (monthly)
Output
Six-month net adds outlook

Input features

Governed variables, in feature-rank order

  1. 1.churn_propensityChurn Propensity Model score (0–1).
  2. 2.offer_response_scoreLikelihood of accepting a retention or upsell offer (0–1).
  3. 3.Digital activity scoreApp and wallet engagement score

Related Intelligence

Linked governed records

Decision journey