Simulation & Prediction
Simulation Models
The governed registry of scenario and simulation models: purpose, inputs, outputs, owner, version and review status.
Simulation models
8
Active
7
In review
1
Journeys covered
7
Simulation model registry
Deterministic scenario models used to project outcomes. These are governed model definitions, not live machine-learning services.
| Model | Type | Related KPI | Journey | Inputs | Outputs | Owner | Version | Reviewed | Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARPU Elasticity ModelEstimate ARPU and volume response to price changes | Elasticity | REV_BLENDED_ARPU | Revenue & Profitability | Blended ARPU, price change %, elasticity by segment | ARPU, revenue and churn impact | Head of Pricing & Revenue | 1.1 | 03 Sep 2026 | ACTIVE | View details → |
| Capital Investment Scenario ModelCompare capex portfolios by return and risk | Portfolio | CAP_NETWORK_INVESTMENT_ROI | Cost & Capital Optimization | Project list, cost, uplift, risk band | Portfolio ROI and payback | Head of Capital Planning | 1.1 | 30 Jun 2026 | ACTIVE | View details → |
| Churn Sensitivity ModelShow how churn responds to retention spend and offer depth | Sensitivity | CHN_MONTHLY_CHURN | Churn & Retention | Monthly churn, retention budget, save rate, segment mix | Churn and revenue protected under each scenario | Head of Customer Analytics | 1.3 | 14 Sep 2026 | ACTIVE | View details → |
| Network Congestion Impact ModelEstimate revenue and NPS impact of congestion and capacity upgrades | Impact | NET_NETWORK_AVAILABILITY | Network Performance & Risk | Congested sites, traffic growth, upgrade plan | Availability, NPS and revenue protected | Head of Network Planning | 0.9 | 20 Aug 2026 | IN REVIEW | View details → |
| Revenue Leakage Impact ModelQuantify revenue recovered by leakage interventions | Impact | REV_REVENUE_LEAKAGE | Fraud & Revenue Assurance | Leakage rate, control coverage, recovery % | Revenue recovered and residual leakage | Head of Revenue Assurance | 1.2 | 18 Sep 2026 | ACTIVE | View details → |
| OPEX Optimization ModelCompare opex savings levers | Optimization | COST_ENERGY_COST | Cost & Capital Optimization | Opex lines, energy cost, lever assumptions | Savings by lever and timing | Head of Network Finance | 1.0 | 30 Jul 2026 | ACTIVE | View details → |
| Roaming Revenue Sensitivity ModelShow roaming revenue under tariff and partner scenarios | Sensitivity | ICR_ROAMING_REVENUE | Interconnect & Roaming | Partner traffic, tariff change, settlement terms | Roaming revenue and margin | Head of Wholesale | 0.8 | 12 Aug 2026 | ACTIVE | View details → |
| Subscriber Growth Scenario ModelProject net adds under campaign and channel scenarios | Projection | SUB_NET_ADDS | Subscriber Growth | Gross adds, disconnects, campaign plan | Net adds and base outlook | Head of Commercial Planning | 1.0 | 05 Sep 2026 | ACTIVE | View details → |